Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
41.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
EST
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
EST
2 - 3
CAR
22%
27%
51%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 4
TAC
23%
27%
50%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
ANZ
2 - 0
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LAR
0 - 2
ANZ
49%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
LAR
1 - 1
TRU
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 1
LAR
46%
28%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
LAR
2 - 3
ATL
57%
25%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TAC
4 - 1
LAR
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |