Estudiantes de Mérida vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 2
EST
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
RAC
2 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 1
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
EST
1 - 2
YAR
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
ALI
2 - 2
EST
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
LAR
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 2
TRU
64%
22%
14%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 0
CAR
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DEP
2 - 2
YAR
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |