Estudiantes de Mérida vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
ZAM
28%
28%
44%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 3
EST
56%
26%
18%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
EST
0 - 1
ANZ
29%
27%
43%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
EST
1 - 4
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2012 |
ANZ
1 - 1
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 2
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ANZ
1 - 0
DEP
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
1 - 2
ZAM
33%
29%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
ARA
3 - 1
DEP
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
ANZ
3 - 1
DEP
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |