Estudiantes de Mérida vs Deportes Tolima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
41.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BVS
3 - 1
EST
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Tolima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 2
TOL
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 3
TOL
49%
22%
29%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |