Estudiantes de Mérida vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
42.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
28%
25%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 1
EST
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
EST
1 - 3
ZAM
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
EST
4 - 2
ESC
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
4 - 0
EST
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
HUA
3 - 4
CFC
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 0
HUA
34%
25%
40%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ZAM
3 - 2
CFC
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 1
ZAM
40%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2018 |
CFC
2 - 0
LAR
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |