Estudiantes de Mérida vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
2 - 0
EST
32%
26%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
MIN
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
EST
58%
22%
19%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
POR
2 - 2
EST
49%
24%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
CFC
0 - 2
ZUL
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 3
CFC
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CFC
3 - 3
CAR
41%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 2
CFC
11%
23%
67%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CFC
4 - 1
MON
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |