Estudiantes de Mérida vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 0
EST
20%
26%
54%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
URE
1 - 2
EST
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
TIT
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
40%
28%
33%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
ZUL
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ANZ
0 - 3
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
YAR
1 - 0
CAR
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
POR
2 - 1
CAR
24%
24%
52%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 1
MIR
69%
20%
10%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |