Estudiantes de Mérida vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
43.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
TOL
1 - 0
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
NAC
2 - 0
EST
68%
17%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1982 |
EST
1 - 0
TAC
49%
22%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 1
TOL
35%
23%
42%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
EST
1 - 3
NAC
46%
23%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1987 |
TEM
1 - 1
CEN
34%
29%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
CEN
2 - 1
CAU
73%
18%
10%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1987 |
ARG
0 - 2
CEN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1987 |
CEN
2 - 0
GLP
66%
21%
14%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
CEN
0 - 0
FER
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |