Estudiantes de Mérida vs Atlético El Vigía FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EST
0 - 4
ZAM
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 4
ANZ
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
MIR
5 - 1
EST
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 1
YAR
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 2
TRU
40%
25%
35%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 1
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 3
ZAM
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |