Estudiantes de Mérida vs At. Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 1
EST
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
TAC
2 - 3
EST
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 2
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 2
EST
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 0
TRU
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |