Estudiantes de Mérida vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
TAC
0 - 0
EST
65%
18%
17%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
EST
76%
15%
10%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BVS
3 - 1
EST
67%
18%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
POR
0 - 0
EST
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
EST
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
47%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
NAC
0 - 3
TOL
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1977 |
NAC
3 - 1
OPE
57%
20%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 1
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |