Estudiantes de Mérida vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 2
EST
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
MET
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
46%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
3 - 3
MIN
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ZUL
0 - 0
ARA
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 1
ZAM
17%
26%
57%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
5 - 1
ARA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 2
DEP
27%
28%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |