Estudiantes de Mérida vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
29.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
TRU
28%
26%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 0
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TRU
3 - 0
EST
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
TRU
2 - 0
EST
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 1
CAR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
3 - 0
LAR
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
DEP
2 - 1
ARA
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 1
ZAM
24%
28%
48%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |