Estudiantes de Mérida vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ZUL
1 - 3
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
EST
0 - 1
ATL
40%
26%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
1 - 0
EST
65%
20%
15%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
EST
0 - 4
ZAM
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
YAR
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
TAC
3 - 1
ARA
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 1
TRU
34%
28%
37%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 1
ARA
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
25%
26%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |