Sportivo Estudiantes vs Sportivo Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
27.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
6º
8º
8º
25
7º
8º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
CIB
2 - 1
CSE
63%
23%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
CDA
3 - 0
CSE
50%
25%
24%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CSE
0 - 0
FER
43%
27%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATE
3 - 3
CSE
22%
28%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
CSE
0 - 0
HHE
40%
28%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 1
ATE
61%
23%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
HHE
2 - 1
SPE
45%
28%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SPE
4 - 2
SMA
56%
25%
20%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
JUU
1 - 0
SPE
46%
28%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
SPE
0 - 0
CIB
28%
26%
47%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |