Torneo Federal A PlayOffs Last 16
Global 5-4
Sportivo Estudiantes vs Defensores Belgrano VR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sportivo Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CSE
3 - 1
RSA
30%
29%
41%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 1
CSE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CSE
0 - 1
JUU
36%
28%
35%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
CIP
2 - 1
CSE
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
RAO
1 - 1
CSE
38%
26%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores Belgrano VR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DFR
3 - 1
RIV
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
JUU
2 - 2
DFR
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
DFR
2 - 0
CIP
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 1
DFR
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
DFR
5 - 2
RAO
45%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |