Estudiantes de Medicina vs FBC Melgar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
47.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Medicina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
WAN
2 - 0
CDE
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
UNI
2 - 0
CDE
68%
20%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
CDE
0 - 2
ALI
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
SPC
4 - 2
CDE
82%
12%
5%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
CDE
0 - 1
ALI
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2004 |
MEL
0 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
CAU
2 - 2
MEL
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
MEL
5 - 0
WAN
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
MEL
1 - 2
SPC
39%
25%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |