Estudiantes de Caracas vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ESC
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
TRU
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ESC
72%
17%
10%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 0
ESC
61%
22%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
URE
0 - 0
LAR
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2016 |
EST
2 - 1
URE
49%
26%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
URE
2 - 1
ZUL
37%
25%
39%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +2 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
ARA
0 - 0
URE
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |