Estudiantes de Caracas vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
22.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ESC
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 2
MIR
57%
26%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 0
EST
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
TRU
3 - 0
URE
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 1
URE
34%
31%
35%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2015 |
URE
0 - 3
TRU
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
URE
1 - 1
ARA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |