Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 5-4
Estudiantes de Caracas vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
ESC
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAR
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
ESC
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 0
LAL
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 2
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
UCV
1 - 1
YAR
35%
26%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
UCV
1 - 0
ARR
66%
19%
14%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 1
UCV
74%
18%
8%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
UCV
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
UCV
1 - 1
GVA
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |