Venezuelan Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-1
Estudiantes de Caracas vs Tucanes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
ESC
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
CFC
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LLA
4 - 0
ESC
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
ESC
21%
23%
57%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
MIN
27%
23%
50%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Tucanes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
GVA
1 - 1
TUC
38%
27%
36%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
ESC
21%
23%
57%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 3
VEN
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 3
TUC
31%
27%
42%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |