Estudiantes de Caracas vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 3
ESC
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 2
MET
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ESC
4 - 2
ANZ
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 1
ESC
71%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
ATL
27%
24%
50%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MIN
6 - 0
POR
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
POR
3 - 1
MON
29%
29%
42%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
EST
1 - 1
POR
66%
22%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
CFC
23%
28%
49%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |