Estudiantes de Caracas vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
45.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
ESC
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
EST
4 - 0
ESC
62%
22%
16%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 0
ZAM
18%
25%
57%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 3
CFC
21%
28%
51%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ZUL
1 - 1
ESC
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
3 - 2
MON
27%
30%
43%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
MIN
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
MON
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |