Estudiantes de Caracas vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
40%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
ESC
4 - 2
ANZ
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 1
ESC
71%
18%
10%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ESC
2 - 2
MON
25%
29%
46%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
LAR
1 - 1
ESC
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
ARA
1 - 0
MET
48%
28%
24%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
ATL
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
MET
3 - 0
TAC
26%
30%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
ANZ
0 - 1
MET
46%
27%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
MET
2 - 1
ZAM
21%
27%
52%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |