Estudiantes de Caracas vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
20.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
DEP
3 - 0
ESC
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 0
LAL
64%
23%
14%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
ESC
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 1
CAR
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
ESC
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
2 - 2
ATL
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ANZ
2 - 3
LLA
62%
23%
15%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 3
MIN
12%
24%
64%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
LLA
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 0
EST
16%
24%
60%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | +2 |