Estudiantes de Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
59.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
ESC
0 - 2
MET
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CFC
2 - 2
ESC
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
2 - 5
ZUL
15%
20%
65%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 2
ESC
60%
22%
19%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 1
APC
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
EST
0 - 0
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2019 |
EST
1 - 0
MIN
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
EST
4 - 2
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |