Estudiantes de Caracas vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
61.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
4 - 1
ESC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
POR
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
ESC
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
ANZ
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 0
ESC
78%
15%
8%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
EST
3 - 1
ATL
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 1
EST
58%
23%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
ZUL
36%
25%
39%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
TAC
2 - 3
EST
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 2
DEP
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |