Estudiantes de Caracas vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 0
ZUL
19%
23%
59%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
EST
4 - 1
ESC
38%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
TUC
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 2
ESC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
CFC
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 3
ATL
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 2
LAR
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
SLO
27%
28%
45%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | -1 |