Estudiantes de Caracas vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2018 |
MIN
3 - 0
ESC
78%
15%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 1
APC
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
ESC
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 0
ESC
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 3
DEP
14%
21%
66%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
ZAM
1 - 2
ANZ
71%
18%
10%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
0 - 2
ZUL
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
2 - 1
APC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
DEP
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |