Estudiantes de Caracas vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 0
ESC
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
MIR
62%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
0 - 0
ESC
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 3
URE
59%
22%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ESC
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 1
LAR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
ANZ
26%
28%
47%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 0
ZUL
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 0
POR
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
ANZ
38%
28%
33%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |