Estudiantes de Caracas vs Dep. Anzoátegui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
MET
0 - 1
ESC
37%
26%
38%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
3 - 3
URE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
LAR
3 - 1
ESC
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ESC
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Anzoátegui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 2
TUC
73%
17%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ANZ
2 - 0
MIN
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ANZ
3 - 2
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2015 |
MIN
1 - 2
ANZ
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 1
ANZ
19%
28%
54%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |