Estudiantes de Caracas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
44.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MET
1 - 2
ESC
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
3 - 2
EST
17%
22%
61%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
4 - 1
ESC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
POR
37%
27%
37%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MET
0 - 1
ESC
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
TRU
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
MET
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
CFC
0 - 3
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 0
CAR
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |