Estudiantes de Caracas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
54.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
2 - 2
LAR
17%
28%
55%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 0
ESC
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 0
TAC
20%
28%
53%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ZUL
4 - 0
ESC
69%
20%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ESC
0 - 2
ZAM
19%
26%
56%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 2
MON
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 0
CAR
57%
24%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
DEP
47%
28%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
TAC
3 - 2
CAR
42%
27%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 2
ZUL
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |