Estudiantes de Caracas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MIR
0 - 1
ESC
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 0
LAL
48%
24%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 2
MON
34%
24%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
URE
2 - 0
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
ATL
39%
25%
37%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
LAR
47%
26%
28%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
YAR
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
ZUL
42%
24%
34%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ANZ
0 - 3
CAR
51%
23%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |