Estudiantes de Caracas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
32%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
POR
0 - 1
ESC
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
ZUL
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
POL
0 - 6
ESC
25%
26%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESC
1 - 2
URE
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 2
ESC
26%
25%
49%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 0
CAR
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
EST
2 - 1
CAR
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
TRU
29%
27%
43%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
CAR
30%
25%
45%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |