CA Estudiantes vs Villa San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 1
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
EST
2 - 2
EXC
59%
24%
17%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MOR
2 - 0
EST
51%
27%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
EST
3 - 2
TAL
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
EST
2 - 3
COL
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
VSC
0 - 0
SUA
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2017 |
RIE
2 - 0
VSC
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
VSC
2 - 1
DEF
32%
30%
39%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
VSC
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2016 |
STM
3 - 0
VSC
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |