CA Estudiantes vs UAI Urquiza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
DAL
1 - 0
EST
29%
30%
41%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
EST
0 - 2
CHI
47%
27%
25%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
EST
0 - 1
ACA
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2013 |
EST
6 - 1
PLA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
AND
1 - 0
EST
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
UAI Urquiza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
UAI
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2014 |
UAI
2 - 1
BAR
49%
28%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
PLA
3 - 0
UAI
41%
29%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
UAI
1 - 1
ACA
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
UAI
1 - 0
AND
44%
30%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +2 |