CA Estudiantes vs Tristán Suárez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
TAL
0 - 1
EST
27%
28%
46%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
EST
3 - 1
COM
62%
22%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
COL
2 - 1
EST
27%
27%
45%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
EST
4 - 2
JJU
52%
26%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
CAD
0 - 1
EST
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 0
UAI
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
FLA
1 - 1
SUA
60%
24%
16%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
SUA
0 - 0
ACA
38%
30%
32%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
RIE
2 - 2
SUA
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
SUA
0 - 0
ESP
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |