CA Estudiantes vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 0
EST
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
FER
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
IRV
2 - 0
EST
42%
28%
30%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
QUI
37%
28%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 1
EST
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
SAC
2 - 1
RSA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 1
SAC
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
GBR
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAC
57%
25%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
BRO
27%
28%
45%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |