CA Estudiantes vs Nueva Chicago analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
EST
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
MIT
0 - 2
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
EST
1 - 3
ALV
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
TIG
2 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Chicago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
ALV
30%
28%
43%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
TIG
1 - 0
CHI
76%
17%
7%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 1
QUI
29%
29%
43%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
AGR
3 - 0
CHI
55%
27%
18%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
1 - 2
MAI
48%
26%
27%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |