CA Estudiantes vs Guillermo Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
20.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
EST
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
BRO
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
EST
37%
31%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
SMA
30%
29%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 0
EST
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Guillermo Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
RSA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 1
GBR
45%
27%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 0
CHA
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
2 - 0
GBR
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
GBR
0 - 3
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |