CA Estudiantes vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
RAF
1 - 2
EST
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
EST
3 - 2
GBR
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
EST
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
BRO
41%
28%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
EST
37%
31%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RSA
3 - 1
RAF
32%
28%
40%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
GBR
1 - 0
RSA
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
2 - 1
CHA
27%
27%
46%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 1
RSA
66%
22%
13%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
RSA
1 - 1
DEF
21%
30%
49%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |