CA Estudiantes vs Dep. Riestra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 0
EST
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
SMA
37%
26%
36%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
EST
25%
28%
47%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
DYJ
1 - 0
EST
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
EST
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Riestra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 0
ALV
47%
28%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
TIG
3 - 0
RIE
63%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2021 |
RIE
0 - 1
QUI
42%
29%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
PLA
0 - 0
RIE
44%
28%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2021 |
MOR
0 - 1
RIE
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |