CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
17.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 2
EST
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 3
EST
39%
30%
31%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
EST
3 - 0
AND
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
FLA
2 - 1
EST
29%
31%
40%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
EST
2 - 2
DEF
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
MER
0 - 1
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 2
MER
46%
29%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MER
1 - 2
ALM
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
DAL
0 - 1
MER
38%
30%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
FLA
3 - 0
MER
29%
30%
41%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |