CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
BRO
0 - 1
EST
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
1 - 0
EST
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 29 | 21 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 2
ATL
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
COM
1 - 0
EST
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 2
ALM
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
UAI
1 - 1
MER
43%
27%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
SAR
1 - 2
MER
87%
11%
3%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ARM
1 - 2
MER
50%
26%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
MER
1 - 3
BRO
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |