CA Estudiantes vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 0
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
STM
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
ACA
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 0
EST
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 2
STM
46%
29%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
AND
1 - 3
DEF
62%
23%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
ACA
39%
29%
32%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 2
DEF
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DEF
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |