CA Estudiantes vs Barracas Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 0
EST
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 3
DEF
62%
23%
15%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
DAL
0 - 0
EST
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
EST
2 - 2
STM
66%
22%
12%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
AND
0 - 0
EST
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barracas Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
STM
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
AND
0 - 2
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
ACA
51%
26%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUA
55%
25%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
BAR
54%
27%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |