CA Estudiantes vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
EST
2 - 1
EST
42%
28%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
DEP
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
EST
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
EST
0 - 0
TEM
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2022 |
FLA
1 - 2
EST
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
3 - 0
RSA
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
RAF
4 - 0
ALV
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 0
GBR
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
5 - 0
ALV
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 2
BRO
36%
29%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |