CA Estudiantes vs Almirante Brown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Estudiantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CHI
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 0
EST
31%
28%
42%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
ATL
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2021 |
MIT
0 - 2
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
EST
1 - 3
ALV
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Almirante Brown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 1
ALM
45%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ALM
1 - 0
TIG
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
QUI
3 - 1
ALM
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 1
AGR
34%
29%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2021 |
MAI
0 - 1
ALM
35%
29%
37%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |