Estrella San Agustín vs Villafranco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella San Agustín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
EST
2 - 1
MOR
59%
23%
19%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
DHE
2 - 2
EST
35%
24%
41%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
CDP
40%
24%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
MAI
36%
26%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 1
EST
20%
23%
57%
|
11 | 5 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
CAC
28%
22%
50%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
UDR
3 - 0
VIL
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
VIL
5 - 1
PIL
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LCF
1 - 1
VIL
24%
24%
53%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAM
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | +1 |